Persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official reporting station for this market. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs point to a peak near 76–79°F on August 12, with normal August maxima at LAX hovering around 76°F. Subtle differences in the timing of onshore winds, marine layer depth, and afternoon cloud cover explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Final NWS observations will determine resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger sea breeze potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
76-77°F 50%
78-79°F 43%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 1.5%
NEW
$25,276 Vol.
NEW
$25,276 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 50%
78-79°F 43%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 1.5%
NEW
$25,276 Vol.
NEW
$25,276 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$1,501 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$932 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$842 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,296 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$3,316 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$4,636 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$6,451 Vol.
43%
80-81°F
$1,463 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$1,980 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$628 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official reporting station for this market. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs point to a peak near 76–79°F on August 12, with normal August maxima at LAX hovering around 76°F. Subtle differences in the timing of onshore winds, marine layer depth, and afternoon cloud cover explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Final NWS observations will determine resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger sea breeze potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$25,276End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official reporting station for this market. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs point to a peak near 76–79°F on August 12, with normal August maxima at LAX hovering around 76°F. Subtle differences in the timing of onshore winds, marine layer depth, and afternoon cloud cover explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Final NWS observations will determine resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger sea breeze potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,276End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the official reporting station for this market. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs point to a peak near 76–79°F on August 12, with normal August maxima at LAX hovering around 76°F. Subtle differences in the timing of onshore winds, marine layer depth, and afternoon cloud cover explain why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins. Final NWS observations will determine resolution, with any late-day clearing or stronger sea breeze potentially shifting the outcome by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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