Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern across North Texas on August 14, with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s supporting afternoon highs near 100–101 °F amid an ongoing Southern U.S. heat wave. Ensemble spread and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins that together command nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for Dallas shows daily maxima averaging 96 °F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly whose exact peak will hinge on the timing of peak insolation and any late-day sea-breeze or convective inhibition. Updated model runs and official NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 14?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 14?
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 20%
104-105°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 20%
104-105°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
95°F or below
$109 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$80 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$219 Vol.
34%
100-101°F
$387 Vol.
42%
102-103°F
$154 Vol.
20%
104-105°F
$154 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$115 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$308 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$98 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$98 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$98 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern across North Texas on August 14, with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s supporting afternoon highs near 100–101 °F amid an ongoing Southern U.S. heat wave. Ensemble spread and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins that together command nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for Dallas shows daily maxima averaging 96 °F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly whose exact peak will hinge on the timing of peak insolation and any late-day sea-breeze or convective inhibition. Updated model runs and official NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,821End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern across North Texas on August 14, with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s supporting afternoon highs near 100–101 °F amid an ongoing Southern U.S. heat wave. Ensemble spread and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins that together command nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for Dallas shows daily maxima averaging 96 °F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly whose exact peak will hinge on the timing of peak insolation and any late-day sea-breeze or convective inhibition. Updated model runs and official NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,821End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern across North Texas on August 14, with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s supporting afternoon highs near 100–101 °F amid an ongoing Southern U.S. heat wave. Ensemble spread and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins that together command nearly 70 % of market-implied probability. Historical August climatology for Dallas shows daily maxima averaging 96 °F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly whose exact peak will hinge on the timing of peak insolation and any late-day sea-breeze or convective inhibition. Updated model runs and official NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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