Recent official forecasts from South African weather services and models indicate Cape Town’s August 24 maximum will likely fall between 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cold fronts positioned south of the continent have maintained cooler maritime air and moderate northerly winds, suppressing daytime warming along the west coast while average August highs sit near 17–18 °C. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and wind strength that could allow brief clearing and a 1–2 °C rise or keep readings capped near seasonal norms. With resolution hinging on the official South African Weather Service daily maximum, traders are pricing the narrow band most consistent with current synoptic patterns and climatological baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
19°C 46%
18°C 26%
20°C 18%
17°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
46%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 46%
18°C 26%
20°C 18%
17°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
13°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$20 Vol.
1%
16°C
$67 Vol.
3%
17°C
$135 Vol.
7%
18°C
$440 Vol.
26%
19°C
$300 Vol.
46%
20°C
$631 Vol.
18%
21°C
$91 Vol.
6%
22°C
$118 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from South African weather services and models indicate Cape Town’s August 24 maximum will likely fall between 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cold fronts positioned south of the continent have maintained cooler maritime air and moderate northerly winds, suppressing daytime warming along the west coast while average August highs sit near 17–18 °C. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and wind strength that could allow brief clearing and a 1–2 °C rise or keep readings capped near seasonal norms. With resolution hinging on the official South African Weather Service daily maximum, traders are pricing the narrow band most consistent with current synoptic patterns and climatological baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,885End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from South African weather services and models indicate Cape Town’s August 24 maximum will likely fall between 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cold fronts positioned south of the continent have maintained cooler maritime air and moderate northerly winds, suppressing daytime warming along the west coast while average August highs sit near 17–18 °C. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and wind strength that could allow brief clearing and a 1–2 °C rise or keep readings capped near seasonal norms. With resolution hinging on the official South African Weather Service daily maximum, traders are pricing the narrow band most consistent with current synoptic patterns and climatological baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,885End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from South African weather services and models indicate Cape Town’s August 24 maximum will likely fall between 18–20 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cold fronts positioned south of the continent have maintained cooler maritime air and moderate northerly winds, suppressing daytime warming along the west coast while average August highs sit near 17–18 °C. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and wind strength that could allow brief clearing and a 1–2 °C rise or keep readings capped near seasonal norms. With resolution hinging on the official South African Weather Service daily maximum, traders are pricing the narrow band most consistent with current synoptic patterns and climatological baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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