Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 16?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$82,108 Vol.
$82,108 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$82,108 Vol.
$82,108 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$714 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,287 Vol.
No
21°C
$10,058 Vol.
No
22°C
$20,684 Vol.
No
23°C
$16,144 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$17,782 Vol.
No
25°C
$11,908 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,235 Vol.
No
27°C
$496 Vol.
No
28°C
$343 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$457 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$82,108End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82,108End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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