Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport models indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C for August 2, driven by persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and light winds under partly cloudy skies with no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average overnight lows range 23–25°C, while current model consensus shows limited cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and urban heat effects around Seoul-Incheon. Trader sentiment favoring 26°C reflects these stable warm conditions and the narrow resolution window, with modest probability mass on 25°C or 27°C accounting for minor forecast revisions possible before the 3–9 AM observation period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
26°C 52%
27°C 29%
25°C 21%
24℃ 2%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24℃
2%
25°C
21%
26°C
52%
27°C
29%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 52%
27°C 29%
25°C 21%
24℃ 2%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24℃
2%
25°C
21%
26°C
52%
27°C
29%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport models indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C for August 2, driven by persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and light winds under partly cloudy skies with no significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where average overnight lows range 23–25°C, while current model consensus shows limited cooling overnight due to elevated dew points and urban heat effects around Seoul-Incheon. Trader sentiment favoring 26°C reflects these stable warm conditions and the narrow resolution window, with modest probability mass on 25°C or 27°C accounting for minor forecast revisions possible before the 3–9 AM observation period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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