Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日旧金山最低气温？
8月23日旧金山最低气温？
58-59°F 87%
52-53°F 27%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F <1%
$1,264 交易量
$1,264 交易量
2026-08-23
49°F或更低
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
26%
56-57华氏度
<1%
58-59°F
87%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F或更高
<1%
58-59°F 87%
52-53°F 27%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F <1%
$1,264 交易量
$1,264 交易量
2026-08-23
49°F或更低
$118 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$155 交易量
1%
52-53°F
$5 交易量
27%
54-55°F
$5 交易量
26%
56-57华氏度
$10 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$179 交易量
87%
60-61°F
$163 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$105 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$145 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$200 交易量
<1%
68°F或更高
$179 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,264结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,264结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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