Current ensemble and deterministic forecasts from GFS and similar models indicate a Warsaw high near 22–23°C on August 25 under building high pressure, clearing skies after possible showers on the 24th, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions support daytime solar heating without strong advection or extensive cloud cover that would suppress maxima. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and surface moisture from recent rain, which can shift peak temperatures by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of the 25th will further constrain resolution criteria as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月25日的最高温度？
华沙8月25日的最高温度？
22°C 42%
23°C 35%
21°C 12%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
42%
23°C
33%
24°C
12%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 42%
23°C 35%
21°C 12%
24°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
17°C or below
$72 交易量
1%
18°C
$5 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
2%
20°C
$51 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
12%
22°C
$0 交易量
42%
23°C
$57 交易量
33%
24°C
$10 交易量
12%
25°C
$5 交易量
3%
26°C
$5 交易量
6%
27°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble and deterministic forecasts from GFS and similar models indicate a Warsaw high near 22–23°C on August 25 under building high pressure, clearing skies after possible showers on the 24th, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions support daytime solar heating without strong advection or extensive cloud cover that would suppress maxima. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and surface moisture from recent rain, which can shift peak temperatures by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of the 25th will further constrain resolution criteria as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$215结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble and deterministic forecasts from GFS and similar models indicate a Warsaw high near 22–23°C on August 25 under building high pressure, clearing skies after possible showers on the 24th, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions support daytime solar heating without strong advection or extensive cloud cover that would suppress maxima. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and surface moisture from recent rain, which can shift peak temperatures by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of the 25th will further constrain resolution criteria as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$215结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent ensemble and deterministic forecasts from GFS and similar models indicate a Warsaw high near 22–23°C on August 25 under building high pressure, clearing skies after possible showers on the 24th, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity. These conditions support daytime solar heating without strong advection or extensive cloud cover that would suppress maxima. The narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects typical short-range model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and surface moisture from recent rain, which can shift peak temperatures by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of the 25th will further constrain resolution criteria as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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