Recent ensemble forecasts from global models project Moscow's peak temperature on August 25 near 17–18°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or sprinkles, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions suppress the usual late-summer warmth, consistent with the market's heaviest trading at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Synoptic patterns show Atlantic air masses dominating over warmer continental influences, with historical August highs averaging near 22°C but recent days trending cooler. Updated model guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日莫斯科最高气温?
18°C 47%
17°C 38%
16°C 11%
19°C 8%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
38%
18°C
47%
19°C
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 47%
17°C 38%
16°C 11%
19°C 8%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
38%
18°C
47%
19°C
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models project Moscow's peak temperature on August 25 near 17–18°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or sprinkles, and moderate northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions suppress the usual late-summer warmth, consistent with the market's heaviest trading at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Synoptic patterns show Atlantic air masses dominating over warmer continental influences, with historical August highs averaging near 22°C but recent days trending cooler. Updated model guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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