Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under predominantly sunny conditions with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 27–28°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. Model consensus across runs shows limited variability, with temperatures unlikely to deviate significantly absent rapid changes in the regional pressure gradient. The 99.2% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects traders’ assessment of these verified forecast outputs and observational trends. Only an unanticipated intensification of southerly flow or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 29°C or above, though current data render such outcomes improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月23日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 99.2%
29°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$35,797 交易量
$35,797 交易量
2026-08-23
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.2%
29°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$35,797 交易量
$35,797 交易量
2026-08-23
23°C or below
$455 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,688 交易量
<1%
25°C
$858 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,080 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,981 交易量
<1%
28°C
$7,713 交易量
99%
29°C
$6,257 交易量
1%
30°C
$3,183 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,642 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,147 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,793 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under predominantly sunny conditions with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 27–28°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. Model consensus across runs shows limited variability, with temperatures unlikely to deviate significantly absent rapid changes in the regional pressure gradient. The 99.2% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects traders’ assessment of these verified forecast outputs and observational trends. Only an unanticipated intensification of southerly flow or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 29°C or above, though current data render such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$35,797结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under predominantly sunny conditions with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 27–28°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. Model consensus across runs shows limited variability, with temperatures unlikely to deviate significantly absent rapid changes in the regional pressure gradient. The 99.2% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects traders’ assessment of these verified forecast outputs and observational trends. Only an unanticipated intensification of southerly flow or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 29°C or above, though current data render such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,797结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather project a daily maximum temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 23, 2026, under predominantly sunny conditions with light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with long-term August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 27–28°C amid stable subtropical high pressure. Model consensus across runs shows limited variability, with temperatures unlikely to deviate significantly absent rapid changes in the regional pressure gradient. The 99.2% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects traders’ assessment of these verified forecast outputs and observational trends. Only an unanticipated intensification of southerly flow or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 29°C or above, though current data render such outcomes improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题