**Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 23 maximum near 24°C under high pressure, light northerly winds, and a mix of sunny intervals with limited cloud cover that supports moderate daytime heating.** These conditions align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where seasonal averages hover around 22–23°C at central London stations, but a stable ridge prevents significant advection of warmer air or strong insolation spikes. Model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance converging on a peak between 23–24°C at representative sites like London City Airport, the likely resolution benchmark. Earlier August heatwave episodes raised the monthly baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern has moderated temperatures, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23–25°C range and favoring 24°C as the mode. As the day unfolds, real-time observations and any final model updates will refine trader positioning ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日伦敦气温最高？
8月23日伦敦气温最高？
24°C 69%
23°C 20%
25°C 12%
26°C <1%
$41,953 交易量
$41,953 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
20%
24°C
69%
25°C
12%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 69%
23°C 20%
25°C 12%
26°C <1%
$41,953 交易量
$41,953 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$2,521 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,987 交易量
<1%
22°C
$4,025 交易量
<1%
23°C
$7,782 交易量
20%
24°C
$8,628 交易量
69%
25°C
$7,787 交易量
12%
26°C
$4,142 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,835 交易量
<1%
28°C
$341 交易量
<1%
29°C
$260 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$646 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 23 maximum near 24°C under high pressure, light northerly winds, and a mix of sunny intervals with limited cloud cover that supports moderate daytime heating.**
These conditions align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where seasonal averages hover around 22–23°C at central London stations, but a stable ridge prevents significant advection of warmer air or strong insolation spikes. Model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance converging on a peak between 23–24°C at representative sites like London City Airport, the likely resolution benchmark. Earlier August heatwave episodes raised the monthly baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern has moderated temperatures, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23–25°C range and favoring 24°C as the mode. As the day unfolds, real-time observations and any final model updates will refine trader positioning ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$41,953结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 23 maximum near 24°C under high pressure, light northerly winds, and a mix of sunny intervals with limited cloud cover that supports moderate daytime heating.**
These conditions align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where seasonal averages hover around 22–23°C at central London stations, but a stable ridge prevents significant advection of warmer air or strong insolation spikes. Model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance converging on a peak between 23–24°C at representative sites like London City Airport, the likely resolution benchmark. Earlier August heatwave episodes raised the monthly baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern has moderated temperatures, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23–25°C range and favoring 24°C as the mode. As the day unfolds, real-time observations and any final model updates will refine trader positioning ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,953结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 23 maximum near 24°C under high pressure, light northerly winds, and a mix of sunny intervals with limited cloud cover that supports moderate daytime heating.** These conditions align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where seasonal averages hover around 22–23°C at central London stations, but a stable ridge prevents significant advection of warmer air or strong insolation spikes. Model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance converging on a peak between 23–24°C at representative sites like London City Airport, the likely resolution benchmark. Earlier August heatwave episodes raised the monthly baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern has moderated temperatures, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23–25°C range and favoring 24°C as the mode. As the day unfolds, real-time observations and any final model updates will refine trader positioning ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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