Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a 22–23°C peak for London on August 24 under sunny intervals and an easterly breeze, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C market odds. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to moderate winds enhancing mixing and possible afternoon cloud build-up that caps insolation, while historical August averages near 21–22°C provide a baseline. Minor disagreements among ensemble runs center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight 44.5%–39.5% distribution; any late shift toward clearer skies could lift readings toward 23°C, though current guidance keeps higher outcomes below 10% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日伦敦气温最高？
8月24日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 45%
21°C 40%
23°C 10%
20°C 7%
最新
$19,264 交易量
最新
$19,264 交易量
2026-08-24
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
40%
22°C
45%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 40%
23°C 10%
20°C 7%
最新
$19,264 交易量
最新
$19,264 交易量
2026-08-24
17°C or below
$380 交易量
<1%
18°C
$450 交易量
<1%
19°C
$817 交易量
2%
20°C
$1,581 交易量
7%
21°C
$2,055 交易量
40%
22°C
$5,211 交易量
45%
23°C
$1,847 交易量
10%
24°C
$3,021 交易量
1%
25°C
$2,602 交易量
<1%
26°C
$438 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$873 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a 22–23°C peak for London on August 24 under sunny intervals and an easterly breeze, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C market odds. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to moderate winds enhancing mixing and possible afternoon cloud build-up that caps insolation, while historical August averages near 21–22°C provide a baseline. Minor disagreements among ensemble runs center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight 44.5%–39.5% distribution; any late shift toward clearer skies could lift readings toward 23°C, though current guidance keeps higher outcomes below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
交易量
$19,264结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a 22–23°C peak for London on August 24 under sunny intervals and an easterly breeze, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C market odds. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to moderate winds enhancing mixing and possible afternoon cloud build-up that caps insolation, while historical August averages near 21–22°C provide a baseline. Minor disagreements among ensemble runs center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight 44.5%–39.5% distribution; any late shift toward clearer skies could lift readings toward 23°C, though current guidance keeps higher outcomes below 10% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,264结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETLatest Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a 22–23°C peak for London on August 24 under sunny intervals and an easterly breeze, driving the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C market odds. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to moderate winds enhancing mixing and possible afternoon cloud build-up that caps insolation, while historical August averages near 21–22°C provide a baseline. Minor disagreements among ensemble runs center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight 44.5%–39.5% distribution; any late shift toward clearer skies could lift readings toward 23°C, though current guidance keeps higher outcomes below 10% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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