Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日伦敦最低气温？
8月25日伦敦最低气温？
17°C 38%
16°C 23%
18℃ 16%
15°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
23%
17°C
38%
18℃
16%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C或更高
1%
17°C 38%
16°C 23%
18℃ 16%
15°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
$10 交易量
<1%
12°C
$10 交易量
<1%
13°C
$80 交易量
4%
14°C
$26 交易量
5%
15°C
$36 交易量
15%
16°C
$382 交易量
23%
17°C
$192 交易量
38%
18℃
$47 交易量
16%
19°C
$82 交易量
6%
20°C
$5 交易量
1%
21°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$875结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$875结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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