Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日巴黎气温最高？
8月24日巴黎气温最高？
27°C 44%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
最新
$14,450 交易量
最新
$14,450 交易量
2026-08-24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
44%
28°C
27%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
最新
$14,450 交易量
最新
$14,450 交易量
2026-08-24
23°C or below
$535 交易量
1%
24°C
$759 交易量
3%
25°C
$1,586 交易量
4%
26°C
$2,030 交易量
14%
27°C
$3,140 交易量
44%
28°C
$2,242 交易量
27%
29°C
$1,602 交易量
8%
30°C
$1,196 交易量
3%
31°C
$622 交易量
1%
32°C
$563 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$175 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
交易量
$14,450结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,450结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, the Met Office, and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward a 26–28°C peak in Paris on August 24, with 27°C holding the strongest implied probability at 43.5%. A transition to cooler northwesterly flow following recent warmth, combined with variable cloud cover that restricts afternoon solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, supports this narrow range. Model spreads remain modest, producing tight clustering around the mid-20s Celsius, while small uncertainties in frontal timing or mixing depth could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 24°C provide context, but current guidance favors slightly above-normal readings without extreme heat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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