Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日巴黎气温最高？
8月25日巴黎气温最高？
27°C 36%
28°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
16%
27°C
36%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 36%
28°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$8 交易量
2%
24°C
$15 交易量
6%
25°C
$0 交易量
8%
26°C
$112 交易量
16%
27°C
$86 交易量
36%
28°C
$7 交易量
25%
29°C
$67 交易量
13%
30°C
$44 交易量
6%
31°C
$5 交易量
6%
32°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$354结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$354结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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