**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.** This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日巴黎最低气温？
8月24日巴黎最低气温？
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
15%
14°C
44%
15°C
31%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
1%
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
11°C或以下
$15 交易量
2%
12°C
$26 交易量
4%
13°C
$345 交易量
15%
14°C
$1,635 交易量
44%
15°C
$273 交易量
31%
16°C
$30 交易量
11%
17°C
$15 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
2%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$116 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.**
This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,480结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.**
This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,480结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET**Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF consensus project an overnight minimum near 14–15°C in Paris on August 24, 2026, driven by typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity levels that limit stronger temperature drops.** This aligns with Paris’s climatological average low of about 14–15°C for the date, as seasonal cooling progresses after peak summer warmth without any anomalous warm advection or cold-air outbreak in current analyses. Recent model runs show stable conditions with no significant frontal passages expected overnight, keeping probabilities concentrated on 13–16°C outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 12°C or above 17°C. Traders are weighting these ensemble forecasts heavily, as the market resolves against official station readings at Paris-Le Bourget.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题