Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日深圳气温最高？
8月25日深圳气温最高？
32°C 30%
31°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
30%
33°C
15%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 26%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
26°C
$5 交易量
4%
27°C
$10 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
16%
31°C
$35 交易量
26%
32°C
$35 交易量
30%
33°C
$0 交易量
15%
34°C
$100 交易量
3%
35°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$195结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$195结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on forecast model consensus for Shenzhen's August 25 maximum near 30–32°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge interacting with monsoon moisture. Scattered thunderstorms and high relative humidity (70–85%) are expected to limit insolation and surface heating, producing the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging 31–32°C while recent runs show minor divergence in rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical weather prediction ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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