Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日深圳气温最高？
8月24日深圳气温最高？
31°C 30%
32℃ 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
最新
$14,666 交易量
最新
$14,666 交易量
2026-08-24
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
30%
32℃
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 30%
32℃ 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
最新
$14,666 交易量
最新
$14,666 交易量
2026-08-24
25°C或以下
$384 交易量
<1%
26°C
$412 交易量
<1%
27°C
$682 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,332 交易量
4%
29°C
$1,819 交易量
8%
30°C
$2,993 交易量
13%
31°C
$3,032 交易量
30%
32℃
$932 交易量
27%
33°C
$1,087 交易量
15%
34°C
$947 交易量
5%
35°C或以上
$1,045 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$14,666结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,666结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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