Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月23日的最高温度？
纽约市8月23日的最高温度？
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 5%
最新
$32,886 交易量
最新
$32,886 交易量
2026-08-23
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 33%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 5%
最新
$32,886 交易量
最新
$32,886 交易量
2026-08-23
73°F or below
$753 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$2,624 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$3,718 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$3,828 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$4,698 交易量
33%
82-83°F
$8,432 交易量
51%
84-85°F
$4,060 交易量
13%
86-87°F
$3,198 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$741 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$195 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$639 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$32,886结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,886结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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