**Forecast consensus from major models and agencies points to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (78–79°F and 80–81°F), which together hold over 80% of the probability. Key drivers include a surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, allowing strong daytime insolation while light winds (5–10 mph) limit mixing and evaporation cooling. Recent National Weather Service and private guidance (AccuWeather, Weather Underground) converge on 79–82°F, slightly below the 1991–2020 Central Park August normal of 83°F, consistent with a modest westward shift in the Bermuda High and cooler mid-level temperatures. Differentiation between the top two bins hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and exact peak-hour mixing. A slightly earlier marine influence or increased boundary-layer humidity could cap the maximum at 78–79°F, while fuller sun and drier air would push it into the low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering around 80°F rather than higher or lower outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日纽约市的最高温度？
8月24日纽约市的最高温度？
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 38%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
67°F or below
$78 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$78 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$78 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$247 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$281 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$372 交易量
6%
78-79°F
$792 交易量
38%
80-81°F
$2,889 交易量
45%
82-83°F
$905 交易量
11%
84-85°F
$209 交易量
3%
86°F or higher
$423 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major models and agencies points to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (78–79°F and 80–81°F), which together hold over 80% of the probability.
Key drivers include a surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, allowing strong daytime insolation while light winds (5–10 mph) limit mixing and evaporation cooling. Recent National Weather Service and private guidance (AccuWeather, Weather Underground) converge on 79–82°F, slightly below the 1991–2020 Central Park August normal of 83°F, consistent with a modest westward shift in the Bermuda High and cooler mid-level temperatures.
Differentiation between the top two bins hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and exact peak-hour mixing. A slightly earlier marine influence or increased boundary-layer humidity could cap the maximum at 78–79°F, while fuller sun and drier air would push it into the low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering around 80°F rather than higher or lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$6,352结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major models and agencies points to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (78–79°F and 80–81°F), which together hold over 80% of the probability.
Key drivers include a surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, allowing strong daytime insolation while light winds (5–10 mph) limit mixing and evaporation cooling. Recent National Weather Service and private guidance (AccuWeather, Weather Underground) converge on 79–82°F, slightly below the 1991–2020 Central Park August normal of 83°F, consistent with a modest westward shift in the Bermuda High and cooler mid-level temperatures.
Differentiation between the top two bins hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and exact peak-hour mixing. A slightly earlier marine influence or increased boundary-layer humidity could cap the maximum at 78–79°F, while fuller sun and drier air would push it into the low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering around 80°F rather than higher or lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,352结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Forecast consensus from major models and agencies points to a high near 80°F in New York City on August 24, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (78–79°F and 80–81°F), which together hold over 80% of the probability. Key drivers include a surface high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions, allowing strong daytime insolation while light winds (5–10 mph) limit mixing and evaporation cooling. Recent National Weather Service and private guidance (AccuWeather, Weather Underground) converge on 79–82°F, slightly below the 1991–2020 Central Park August normal of 83°F, consistent with a modest westward shift in the Bermuda High and cooler mid-level temperatures. Differentiation between the top two bins hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, and exact peak-hour mixing. A slightly earlier marine influence or increased boundary-layer humidity could cap the maximum at 78–79°F, while fuller sun and drier air would push it into the low 80s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering around 80°F rather than higher or lower outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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