National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations from stations like Central Park and Newark Airport indicate a mostly clear overnight period following daytime showers and thunderstorms, supporting an expected minimum temperature in the upper 60s Fahrenheit for August 23 in New York City. This aligns with climatological norms near 67.5°F and recent model consensus showing light west winds and clearing skies that promote efficient radiational cooling without significant advection of cooler air. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F bin reflects this strong agreement across agency guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from persistent low-level cloud cover or a stalled frontal boundary that limits overnight temperature drops, though current conditions make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月23日的最低温度？
纽约市8月23日的最低温度？
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$7,085 交易量
$7,085 交易量
2026-08-23
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$7,085 交易量
$7,085 交易量
2026-08-23
59°F or below
$75 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$615 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$697 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$241 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$336 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$1,197 交易量
100%
70-71°F
$1,909 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$728 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$511 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$496 交易量
<1%
78°F or higher
$280 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations from stations like Central Park and Newark Airport indicate a mostly clear overnight period following daytime showers and thunderstorms, supporting an expected minimum temperature in the upper 60s Fahrenheit for August 23 in New York City. This aligns with climatological norms near 67.5°F and recent model consensus showing light west winds and clearing skies that promote efficient radiational cooling without significant advection of cooler air. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F bin reflects this strong agreement across agency guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from persistent low-level cloud cover or a stalled frontal boundary that limits overnight temperature drops, though current conditions make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$7,085结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations from stations like Central Park and Newark Airport indicate a mostly clear overnight period following daytime showers and thunderstorms, supporting an expected minimum temperature in the upper 60s Fahrenheit for August 23 in New York City. This aligns with climatological norms near 67.5°F and recent model consensus showing light west winds and clearing skies that promote efficient radiational cooling without significant advection of cooler air. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F bin reflects this strong agreement across agency guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from persistent low-level cloud cover or a stalled frontal boundary that limits overnight temperature drops, though current conditions make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,085结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations from stations like Central Park and Newark Airport indicate a mostly clear overnight period following daytime showers and thunderstorms, supporting an expected minimum temperature in the upper 60s Fahrenheit for August 23 in New York City. This aligns with climatological norms near 67.5°F and recent model consensus showing light west winds and clearing skies that promote efficient radiational cooling without significant advection of cooler air. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for the 68-69°F bin reflects this strong agreement across agency guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from persistent low-level cloud cover or a stalled frontal boundary that limits overnight temperature drops, though current conditions make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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