Chongqing's subtropical basin climate, influenced by a persistent western Pacific subtropical high, favors peak temperatures near 36–37°C on August 25, with the market's tight spread between those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection. Official guidance points to scattered showers and thunderstorms that could limit insolation and introduce localized cooling, while high humidity above 70% and urban heat island effects sustain warmth in central districts. Climatological August highs average around 34°C, but recent model runs show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast window, where revised NHC-equivalent guidance or new observational data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日重庆气温最高?
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 18%
38°C 14%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
12%
35°C
18%
36°C
32%
37°C
31%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
13%
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 18%
38°C 14%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
12%
35°C
18%
36°C
32%
37°C
31%
38°C
14%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Chongqing's subtropical basin climate, influenced by a persistent western Pacific subtropical high, favors peak temperatures near 36–37°C on August 25, with the market's tight spread between those outcomes reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convection. Official guidance points to scattered showers and thunderstorms that could limit insolation and introduce localized cooling, while high humidity above 70% and urban heat island effects sustain warmth in central districts. Climatological August highs average around 34°C, but recent model runs show variability tied to steering patterns and moisture influx. Traders weigh these factors against the two-day forecast window, where revised NHC-equivalent guidance or new observational data could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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