**Trader sentiment for Chongqing's August 25 overnight low reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty between lingering subtropical heat and potential cooling influences.** Typical late-August climatology shows minimum temperatures near 24–26°C amid high humidity and the city's basin topography, which traps warmth. Recent observations indicate daily lows around 24–28°C, with August 18 peaks moderated to 34°C, hinting at possible circulation shifts. Numerical weather models diverge on whether a weak frontal passage or monsoon trough will allow brief radiative cooling toward 21°C or sustain 31°C+ readings through cloud cover and urban effects. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF runs through August 24 will likely tighten the spread between the closely matched 21°C-or-below (43.5%) and 31°C-or-higher (40.5%) outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日重庆气温最低?
21°C or below 84%
31°C or higher 81%
23°C 47%
27°C 28%
21°C or below
84%
22°C
24%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
-
27°C
28%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
81%
21°C or below 84%
31°C or higher 81%
23°C 47%
27°C 28%
21°C or below
84%
22°C
24%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
-
27°C
28%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Chongqing's August 25 overnight low reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty between lingering subtropical heat and potential cooling influences.** Typical late-August climatology shows minimum temperatures near 24–26°C amid high humidity and the city's basin topography, which traps warmth. Recent observations indicate daily lows around 24–28°C, with August 18 peaks moderated to 34°C, hinting at possible circulation shifts. Numerical weather models diverge on whether a weak frontal passage or monsoon trough will allow brief radiative cooling toward 21°C or sustain 31°C+ readings through cloud cover and urban effects. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF runs through August 24 will likely tighten the spread between the closely matched 21°C-or-below (43.5%) and 31°C-or-higher (40.5%) outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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