**Current forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models point to an overnight low near 29°C for August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Chongqing’s urban heat island effect and typical late-August climatology (average lows 25–26°C) support this outcome, with recent observations showing minimal overnight drops amid highs reaching 38–39°C and scattered showers that do not significantly cool the boundary layer. Model consensus favors 27–29°C ranges, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 29°C at 72% implied probability as traders incorporate the latest guidance and historical analogs. No strong cold advection is expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日重庆气温最低?
29°C 74%
28°C 3%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1%
$1,970 交易量
$1,970 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
74%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
29°C 74%
28°C 3%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1%
$1,970 交易量
$1,970 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
74%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models point to an overnight low near 29°C for August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Chongqing’s urban heat island effect and typical late-August climatology (average lows 25–26°C) support this outcome, with recent observations showing minimal overnight drops amid highs reaching 38–39°C and scattered showers that do not significantly cool the boundary layer. Model consensus favors 27–29°C ranges, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 29°C at 72% implied probability as traders incorporate the latest guidance and historical analogs. No strong cold advection is expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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