Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 26–27°C on August 24, shaped by persistent high humidity near 60–90%, scattered thunderstorms, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, reduce temperature drops compared to clearer nights, while urban heat retention and light southerly winds further moderate minima. Trader-implied odds clustered near 27–29°C reflect model spread in precipitation timing and cloud cover, with lower outcomes discounted absent stronger cooling signals. Updated runs and official minimum reports tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日重庆气温最低?
29°C or higher 42%
27°C 35%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
22%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
19%
27°C
35%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
42%
29°C or higher 42%
27°C 35%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
22%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
19%
27°C
35%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 26–27°C on August 24, shaped by persistent high humidity near 60–90%, scattered thunderstorms, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies. These conditions, typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, reduce temperature drops compared to clearer nights, while urban heat retention and light southerly winds further moderate minima. Trader-implied odds clustered near 27–29°C reflect model spread in precipitation timing and cloud cover, with lower outcomes discounted absent stronger cooling signals. Updated runs and official minimum reports tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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