Recent MetService forecasts and model consensus project a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 24 under a northwesterly flow that has advected warmer Tasman air masses, following severe gusts up to 168 km/h on August 23. This setup favors mild conditions typical of late-winter warming episodes rather than the seasonal average near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 15°C (55%) with secondary support at 16°C (29.5%), reflecting limited upside from continued northerlies but low probability of exceeding 17°C absent major forecast revisions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月24日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 55%
16°C 35%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
最新
$18,908 交易量
最新
$18,908 交易量
2026-08-24
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
55%
16°C
35%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 55%
16°C 35%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
最新
$18,908 交易量
最新
$18,908 交易量
2026-08-24
9°C or below
$364 交易量
<1%
10°C
$376 交易量
<1%
11°C
$344 交易量
<1%
12°C
$572 交易量
<1%
13°C
$989 交易量
2%
14°C
$3,189 交易量
7%
15°C
$4,856 交易量
55%
16°C
$3,721 交易量
35%
17°C
$3,193 交易量
6%
18°C
$918 交易量
1%
19°C or higher
$385 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and model consensus project a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 24 under a northwesterly flow that has advected warmer Tasman air masses, following severe gusts up to 168 km/h on August 23. This setup favors mild conditions typical of late-winter warming episodes rather than the seasonal average near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 15°C (55%) with secondary support at 16°C (29.5%), reflecting limited upside from continued northerlies but low probability of exceeding 17°C absent major forecast revisions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$18,908结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and model consensus project a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 24 under a northwesterly flow that has advected warmer Tasman air masses, following severe gusts up to 168 km/h on August 23. This setup favors mild conditions typical of late-winter warming episodes rather than the seasonal average near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 15°C (55%) with secondary support at 16°C (29.5%), reflecting limited upside from continued northerlies but low probability of exceeding 17°C absent major forecast revisions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,908结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService forecasts and model consensus project a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 24 under a northwesterly flow that has advected warmer Tasman air masses, following severe gusts up to 168 km/h on August 23. This setup favors mild conditions typical of late-winter warming episodes rather than the seasonal average near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 15°C (55%) with secondary support at 16°C (29.5%), reflecting limited upside from continued northerlies but low probability of exceeding 17°C absent major forecast revisions. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variables for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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