Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C in Wellington on August 25, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the Tasman Sea amid unseasonably mild winter conditions. This setup has already produced above-average highs in the mid-teens earlier in the week, exceeding the August climatological mean of roughly 12°C. Strong winds and partial cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting the chance of exceeding 17°C while keeping the daily peak above the typical 14°C threshold. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 24 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月25日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 18%
14°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
50%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 50%
17°C 24%
15°C 18%
14°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
10°C or below
$239 交易量
<1%
11°C
$239 交易量
<1%
12°C
$239 交易量
<1%
13°C
$252 交易量
<1%
14°C
$281 交易量
4%
15°C
$1,302 交易量
18%
16°C
$650 交易量
50%
17°C
$683 交易量
24%
18°C
$342 交易量
4%
19°C
$5 交易量
2%
20°C or higher
$673 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C in Wellington on August 25, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the Tasman Sea amid unseasonably mild winter conditions. This setup has already produced above-average highs in the mid-teens earlier in the week, exceeding the August climatological mean of roughly 12°C. Strong winds and partial cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting the chance of exceeding 17°C while keeping the daily peak above the typical 14°C threshold. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 24 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,905结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C in Wellington on August 25, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the Tasman Sea amid unseasonably mild winter conditions. This setup has already produced above-average highs in the mid-teens earlier in the week, exceeding the August climatological mean of roughly 12°C. Strong winds and partial cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting the chance of exceeding 17°C while keeping the daily peak above the typical 14°C threshold. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 24 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,905结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C in Wellington on August 25, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting warmer air from the Tasman Sea amid unseasonably mild winter conditions. This setup has already produced above-average highs in the mid-teens earlier in the week, exceeding the August climatological mean of roughly 12°C. Strong winds and partial cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, limiting the chance of exceeding 17°C while keeping the daily peak above the typical 14°C threshold. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 24 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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