Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeast winds of 15-25 km/h moderating temperatures, yielding a consensus daytime maximum of 29-32°C for Istanbul on August 24 amid a stable high-pressure regime. This positioning favors the market's leading 28°C outcome (60.5% implied probability) due to the cooling influence of Etesian winds and sea surface temperatures near 24-25°C, while 29°C and 27°C hold secondary support. Model runs show minimal precipitation risk and little day-to-day variability from current 30-32°C readings on August 23, though final official station measurements could shift with minor wind or cloud adjustments. Updated guidance from MGM or ECMWF ensembles expected overnight will likely anchor resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月24日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 60%
29℃ 19%
27°C 16%
30°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
60%
29℃
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 60%
29℃ 19%
27°C 16%
30°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C或以下
$281 交易量
<1%
24°C
$170 交易量
<1%
25°C
$315 交易量
1%
26°C
$267 交易量
3%
27°C
$1,322 交易量
16%
28°C
$1,903 交易量
60%
29℃
$689 交易量
19%
30°C
$342 交易量
3%
31°C
$203 交易量
1%
32°C
$110 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$988 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeast winds of 15-25 km/h moderating temperatures, yielding a consensus daytime maximum of 29-32°C for Istanbul on August 24 amid a stable high-pressure regime. This positioning favors the market's leading 28°C outcome (60.5% implied probability) due to the cooling influence of Etesian winds and sea surface temperatures near 24-25°C, while 29°C and 27°C hold secondary support. Model runs show minimal precipitation risk and little day-to-day variability from current 30-32°C readings on August 23, though final official station measurements could shift with minor wind or cloud adjustments. Updated guidance from MGM or ECMWF ensembles expected overnight will likely anchor resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,591结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeast winds of 15-25 km/h moderating temperatures, yielding a consensus daytime maximum of 29-32°C for Istanbul on August 24 amid a stable high-pressure regime. This positioning favors the market's leading 28°C outcome (60.5% implied probability) due to the cooling influence of Etesian winds and sea surface temperatures near 24-25°C, while 29°C and 27°C hold secondary support. Model runs show minimal precipitation risk and little day-to-day variability from current 30-32°C readings on August 23, though final official station measurements could shift with minor wind or cloud adjustments. Updated guidance from MGM or ECMWF ensembles expected overnight will likely anchor resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,591结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeast winds of 15-25 km/h moderating temperatures, yielding a consensus daytime maximum of 29-32°C for Istanbul on August 24 amid a stable high-pressure regime. This positioning favors the market's leading 28°C outcome (60.5% implied probability) due to the cooling influence of Etesian winds and sea surface temperatures near 24-25°C, while 29°C and 27°C hold secondary support. Model runs show minimal precipitation risk and little day-to-day variability from current 30-32°C readings on August 23, though final official station measurements could shift with minor wind or cloud adjustments. Updated guidance from MGM or ECMWF ensembles expected overnight will likely anchor resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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