Recent forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS-based models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24, driven by westerly to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover with light showers possible, limiting daytime heating after highs near 22–24°C on August 23. Consensus daytime maxima cluster around 19–20°C (roughly 66–68°F), consistent with the historical average high of 21.2°C for the date and below recent late-summer norms. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor these outcomes because model runs show limited variability around this range, with only modest upside potential if skies clear more than expected or downside if precipitation is heavier. Official updates from monitoring agencies in the next 24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日莫斯科最高气温?
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
21°C 9%
18°C 8%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
21°C 9%
18°C 8%
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS-based models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24, driven by westerly to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover with light showers possible, limiting daytime heating after highs near 22–24°C on August 23. Consensus daytime maxima cluster around 19–20°C (roughly 66–68°F), consistent with the historical average high of 21.2°C for the date and below recent late-summer norms. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor these outcomes because model runs show limited variability around this range, with only modest upside potential if skies clear more than expected or downside if precipitation is heavier. Official updates from monitoring agencies in the next 24 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题