National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a Seattle high of 74–75°F on August 23, aligning with the market's leading 53% implied probability. Morning marine-layer stratus is expected to clear gradually under light southwesterly flow, moderating daytime heating from the Pacific while limiting stronger offshore influences that could push temperatures higher. This setup keeps conditions close to August climatological averages of 73–75°F at Sea-Tac, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling. Recent model runs show little deviation, though any delayed stratus dissipation or shifts in onshore winds could tilt the outcome toward the 72–73°F bin at 31%. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric dynamics heavily as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日西雅图的最高温度？
8月23日西雅图的最高温度？
74-75°F 54%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 3%
$12,102 交易量
$12,102 交易量
2026-08-23
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
54%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 54%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 3%
$12,102 交易量
$12,102 交易量
2026-08-23
65°F or below
$449 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$1,969 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$1,026 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$1,061 交易量
3%
72-73°F
$1,068 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$1,841 交易量
54%
76-77°F
$1,995 交易量
12%
78-79°F
$487 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$1,414 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$403 交易量
1%
84°F or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a Seattle high of 74–75°F on August 23, aligning with the market's leading 53% implied probability. Morning marine-layer stratus is expected to clear gradually under light southwesterly flow, moderating daytime heating from the Pacific while limiting stronger offshore influences that could push temperatures higher. This setup keeps conditions close to August climatological averages of 73–75°F at Sea-Tac, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling. Recent model runs show little deviation, though any delayed stratus dissipation or shifts in onshore winds could tilt the outcome toward the 72–73°F bin at 31%. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric dynamics heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$12,102结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a Seattle high of 74–75°F on August 23, aligning with the market's leading 53% implied probability. Morning marine-layer stratus is expected to clear gradually under light southwesterly flow, moderating daytime heating from the Pacific while limiting stronger offshore influences that could push temperatures higher. This setup keeps conditions close to August climatological averages of 73–75°F at Sea-Tac, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling. Recent model runs show little deviation, though any delayed stratus dissipation or shifts in onshore winds could tilt the outcome toward the 72–73°F bin at 31%. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric dynamics heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,102结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a Seattle high of 74–75°F on August 23, aligning with the market's leading 53% implied probability. Morning marine-layer stratus is expected to clear gradually under light southwesterly flow, moderating daytime heating from the Pacific while limiting stronger offshore influences that could push temperatures higher. This setup keeps conditions close to August climatological averages of 73–75°F at Sea-Tac, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling. Recent model runs show little deviation, though any delayed stratus dissipation or shifts in onshore winds could tilt the outcome toward the 72–73°F bin at 31%. Traders are weighting these near-term atmospheric dynamics heavily as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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