National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a high near 73–76 °F for Chicago on August 23 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northwest flow, keeping the city well below the late-August climatological average of roughly 82 °F. Cooler Canadian air and lake-modified winds have limited daytime heating, with hourly guidance showing a narrow peak window between 74–77 °F. This scientific setup underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 74–77 °F brackets, while the slim odds on 78 °F or higher reflect only minor model spread or localized urban heat effects that could briefly push readings upward before evening cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月23日的最高温度?
76-77°F 62%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 6%
72-73°F 2%
$17,379 交易量
$17,379 交易量
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 62%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 6%
72-73°F 2%
$17,379 交易量
$17,379 交易量
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
62%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a high near 73–76 °F for Chicago on August 23 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northwest flow, keeping the city well below the late-August climatological average of roughly 82 °F. Cooler Canadian air and lake-modified winds have limited daytime heating, with hourly guidance showing a narrow peak window between 74–77 °F. This scientific setup underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 74–77 °F brackets, while the slim odds on 78 °F or higher reflect only minor model spread or localized urban heat effects that could briefly push readings upward before evening cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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