Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago O’Hare project an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s °F under mostly clear skies after daytime highs near 76–82 °F. This places the 60–61 °F bin at the center of model consensus, with modest radiative cooling expected under light winds and typical late-August humidity. Historical normals for August 23 hover near 64 °F, so current guidance sits slightly below average yet well above the sub-55 °F thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or stronger high-pressure setup. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, keeping higher bins (62 °F+) at negligible implied odds while the 51 °F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing rather than active cold-air advection. The next NWS forecast discussion and any revised temperature grids will be the primary near-term drivers for further market movement before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日芝加哥最低气温?
51°F或更低 78%
54-55°F 64%
56-57°F 64%
60-61°F 62%
$983 交易量
$983 交易量
51°F或更低
78%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
64%
56-57°F
64%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
62%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70华氏度或更高
<1%
51°F或更低 78%
54-55°F 64%
56-57°F 64%
60-61°F 62%
$983 交易量
$983 交易量
51°F或更低
78%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
64%
56-57°F
64%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
62%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Chicago O’Hare project an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s °F under mostly clear skies after daytime highs near 76–82 °F. This places the 60–61 °F bin at the center of model consensus, with modest radiative cooling expected under light winds and typical late-August humidity. Historical normals for August 23 hover near 64 °F, so current guidance sits slightly below average yet well above the sub-55 °F thresholds that would require an atypical cold surge or stronger high-pressure setup. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, keeping higher bins (62 °F+) at negligible implied odds while the 51 °F-or-below outcome reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing rather than active cold-air advection. The next NWS forecast discussion and any revised temperature grids will be the primary near-term drivers for further market movement before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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