Current NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago on August 24, favoring highs in the mid-70s amid northwest winds and potential lake-effect moderation. This drives the near-even split between the 76-77°F (39.5%) and 78-79°F (31.0%) bins, with lower probabilities for warmer or cooler ranges reflecting model spread on cloud cover, wind shifts, and exact timing of any diurnal heating. Historical August normals near 82°F highlight the atypical pattern, while traders weigh the final official reading—likely from O'Hare—against any last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月24日最高温度？
芝加哥8月24日最高温度？
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
69°F或以下
$72 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$93 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$78 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$260 交易量
11%
76-77°F
$455 交易量
45%
78-79°F
$165 交易量
34%
80-81°F
$200 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$118 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$36 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$40 交易量
1%
88°F或更高
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago on August 24, favoring highs in the mid-70s amid northwest winds and potential lake-effect moderation. This drives the near-even split between the 76-77°F (39.5%) and 78-79°F (31.0%) bins, with lower probabilities for warmer or cooler ranges reflecting model spread on cloud cover, wind shifts, and exact timing of any diurnal heating. Historical August normals near 82°F highlight the atypical pattern, while traders weigh the final official reading—likely from O'Hare—against any last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,627结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago on August 24, favoring highs in the mid-70s amid northwest winds and potential lake-effect moderation. This drives the near-even split between the 76-77°F (39.5%) and 78-79°F (31.0%) bins, with lower probabilities for warmer or cooler ranges reflecting model spread on cloud cover, wind shifts, and exact timing of any diurnal heating. Historical August normals near 82°F highlight the atypical pattern, while traders weigh the final official reading—likely from O'Hare—against any last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,627结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETCurrent NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago on August 24, favoring highs in the mid-70s amid northwest winds and potential lake-effect moderation. This drives the near-even split between the 76-77°F (39.5%) and 78-79°F (31.0%) bins, with lower probabilities for warmer or cooler ranges reflecting model spread on cloud cover, wind shifts, and exact timing of any diurnal heating. Historical August normals near 82°F highlight the atypical pattern, while traders weigh the final official reading—likely from O'Hare—against any last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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