Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月24日慕尼黑气温最高？
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
$167 交易量
<1%
19°C
$85 交易量
<1%
20°C
$27 交易量
1%
21°C
$258 交易量
3%
22°C
$1,132 交易量
14%
23°C
$4,437 交易量
26%
24°C
$519 交易量
40%
25°C
$1,055 交易量
10%
26°C
$149 交易量
2%
27°C
$46 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$361 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,238结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,238结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from major forecasting centers indicates Munich's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 23–24°C, aligning with the climatological August average high of 23.4°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Stable high pressure and limited insolation from cloud cover are suppressing stronger daytime warming, while light winds prevent significant advection of warmer air. Current ensemble guidance shows low probability of exceeding 25°C or falling below 22°C, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those central outcomes. Final resolution depends on official observations, with any late adjustments in model runs or unexpected clearing potentially shifting the exact maximum within the narrow forecast range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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