Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日慕尼黑最低气温？
8月24日慕尼黑最低气温？
6°C or below 37%
7°C 32%
8°C 29%
9°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
6°C or below
37%
7°C
32%
8°C
29%
9°C
26%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
8%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
8%
6°C or below 37%
7°C 32%
8°C 29%
9°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
6°C or below
$5 交易量
37%
7°C
$0 交易量
32%
8°C
$0 交易量
29%
9°C
$0 交易量
26%
10°C
$0 交易量
21%
11°C
$0 交易量
21%
12°C
$0 交易量
8%
13°C
$65 交易量
7%
14°C
$135 交易量
1%
15°C
$205 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$134 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$544结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$544结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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