Recent model consensus from European weather agencies supports the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, reflecting observed surface conditions, radiative cooling under partly clear skies, and limited warm-air advection overnight. Forecast ensembles show minimum temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with typical late-August climatology adjusted for current pressure patterns and dew-point readings around 10–12°C. Resolution hinges on official station data, with traders weighting high-resolution runs that narrow uncertainty to within 1°C. Unusually strong nocturnal winds or unexpected cloud cover could push readings to 9°C or above, while clearer skies and drier air might allow a dip to 7°C or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日慕尼黑最低气温？
8月23日慕尼黑最低气温？
8°C 97%
6°C 3%
7°C 3%
5°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
5°C or below
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
97%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 97%
6°C 3%
7°C 3%
5°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
5°C or below
$280 交易量
1%
6°C
$240 交易量
3%
7°C
$24 交易量
3%
8°C
$170 交易量
97%
9°C
$550 交易量
<1%
10°C
$520 交易量
<1%
11°C
$187 交易量
<1%
12°C
$232 交易量
<1%
13°C
$174 交易量
<1%
14°C
$157 交易量
<1%
15°C or higher
$174 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European weather agencies supports the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, reflecting observed surface conditions, radiative cooling under partly clear skies, and limited warm-air advection overnight. Forecast ensembles show minimum temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with typical late-August climatology adjusted for current pressure patterns and dew-point readings around 10–12°C. Resolution hinges on official station data, with traders weighting high-resolution runs that narrow uncertainty to within 1°C. Unusually strong nocturnal winds or unexpected cloud cover could push readings to 9°C or above, while clearer skies and drier air might allow a dip to 7°C or lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,706结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European weather agencies supports the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, reflecting observed surface conditions, radiative cooling under partly clear skies, and limited warm-air advection overnight. Forecast ensembles show minimum temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with typical late-August climatology adjusted for current pressure patterns and dew-point readings around 10–12°C. Resolution hinges on official station data, with traders weighting high-resolution runs that narrow uncertainty to within 1°C. Unusually strong nocturnal winds or unexpected cloud cover could push readings to 9°C or above, while clearer skies and drier air might allow a dip to 7°C or lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,706结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from European weather agencies supports the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, reflecting observed surface conditions, radiative cooling under partly clear skies, and limited warm-air advection overnight. Forecast ensembles show minimum temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, consistent with typical late-August climatology adjusted for current pressure patterns and dew-point readings around 10–12°C. Resolution hinges on official station data, with traders weighting high-resolution runs that narrow uncertainty to within 1°C. Unusually strong nocturnal winds or unexpected cloud cover could push readings to 9°C or above, while clearer skies and drier air might allow a dip to 7°C or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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