Recent official forecasts from sources including the DWD and multiple models indicate a frontal passage and increased cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms likely on August 25, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 20°C in Munich. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 19–21°C, as variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak values. Cooler northeasterly flow earlier in the period has suppressed temperatures relative to mid-August norms, while model consensus points to modest warming potential only if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak insolation hours. Updated guidance on storm timing and local observations will refine resolution odds ahead of the close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日慕尼黑的最高温度?
21°C 26%
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
30%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
10%
21°C 26%
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
30%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the DWD and multiple models indicate a frontal passage and increased cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms likely on August 25, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 20°C in Munich. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 19–21°C, as variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak values. Cooler northeasterly flow earlier in the period has suppressed temperatures relative to mid-August norms, while model consensus points to modest warming potential only if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak insolation hours. Updated guidance on storm timing and local observations will refine resolution odds ahead of the close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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