Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate Miami's daily high on August 23 will reach the lower 90s under mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to afternoon showers and thunderstorms. South to southeast winds of 5-10 mph, combined with typical late-August sea-breeze development and 50-70% rain chances, are expected to cap temperatures near 90-92°F rather than allowing stronger heating. High humidity will push heat indices above 105°F, but actual air temperatures align closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of roughly 90-91°F for the date. Recent model consensus shows no anomalous ridge or suppressed convection to push readings into the mid-90s, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F bin while leaving modest probability for a 94-95°F outlier if storms develop later than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日迈阿密气温最高?
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 1.5%
$18,472 交易量
$18,472 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
60%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
1%
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 1.5%
$18,472 交易量
$18,472 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
60%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate Miami's daily high on August 23 will reach the lower 90s under mostly sunny morning conditions transitioning to afternoon showers and thunderstorms. South to southeast winds of 5-10 mph, combined with typical late-August sea-breeze development and 50-70% rain chances, are expected to cap temperatures near 90-92°F rather than allowing stronger heating. High humidity will push heat indices above 105°F, but actual air temperatures align closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average high of roughly 90-91°F for the date. Recent model consensus shows no anomalous ridge or suppressed convection to push readings into the mid-90s, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F bin while leaving modest probability for a 94-95°F outlier if storms develop later than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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