**Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly flow are keeping Miami’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered near 79–81 °F on August 23.** Typical late-summer conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points in the mid-70s and only modest clearing expected after evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, explaining why market-implied probabilities split almost evenly between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Any localized clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the reading toward the lower bin, while continued cloudiness or urban heat effects would favor the higher one; resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary observing station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日迈阿密最低气温?
80-81°F 59%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8.1%
72-73°F 6.3%
$3,459 交易量
$3,459 交易量
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
59%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 59%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8.1%
72-73°F 6.3%
$3,459 交易量
$3,459 交易量
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
59%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly flow are keeping Miami’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered near 79–81 °F on August 23.** Typical late-summer conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points in the mid-70s and only modest clearing expected after evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, explaining why market-implied probabilities split almost evenly between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Any localized clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the reading toward the lower bin, while continued cloudiness or urban heat effects would favor the higher one; resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary observing station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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