Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 6 point to clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure, supporting radiative cooling overnight with lows expected near 20–23°C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea moderates extremes by limiting sharp drops, while variable model runs and local wind shifts create uncertainty around the precise minimum. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but the narrow gap between market-implied probabilities for 26°C-plus and 16°C-or-below reflects trader focus on whether advection or enhanced cooling will push the outcome above or below the typical range. Updated model guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key near-term driver.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日青岛最低气温?
26°C或更高 82%
16°C或以下 80%
21°C 50%
23°C 50%
16°C或以下
80%
17°C
26%
18°C
35%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
50%
22°C
4%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C或更高
82%
26°C或更高 82%
16°C或以下 80%
21°C 50%
23°C 50%
16°C或以下
80%
17°C
26%
18°C
35%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
50%
22°C
4%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C或更高
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Qingdao on September 6 point to clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure, supporting radiative cooling overnight with lows expected near 20–23°C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea moderates extremes by limiting sharp drops, while variable model runs and local wind shifts create uncertainty around the precise minimum. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but the narrow gap between market-implied probabilities for 26°C-plus and 16°C-or-below reflects trader focus on whether advection or enhanced cooling will push the outcome above or below the typical range. Updated model guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key near-term driver.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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