**Trader consensus on the Qingdao lowest temperature market centers on 18–19°C, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from regional models showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly flow.** Persistent high pressure and dry September conditions have limited cloud cover and moisture, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with climatological averages near 18°C for early September. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance converging on a minimum in the 18–20°C range before dawn on the 6th local time. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the China Meteorological Administration station network, with any late-model shifts or urban heat-island effects potentially influencing the final recorded value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日青岛最低气温?
17°C或以下 9%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
17°C或以下
9%
18°C
41%
19°C
58%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
17°C或以下 9%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
17°C或以下
9%
18°C
41%
19°C
58%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on the Qingdao lowest temperature market centers on 18–19°C, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from regional models showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly flow.** Persistent high pressure and dry September conditions have limited cloud cover and moisture, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with climatological averages near 18°C for early September. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with most guidance converging on a minimum in the 18–20°C range before dawn on the 6th local time. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the China Meteorological Administration station network, with any late-model shifts or urban heat-island effects potentially influencing the final recorded value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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