Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate persistent high pressure over northern France, driving clear skies and radiative nighttime cooling that positions Paris overnight lows near 16–18°C for August 1. This aligns with climatological August minimums of 14–18°C, though an above-average warm air mass tempers further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 16°C or below and 41.5% for exactly 17°C, incorporates the latest model runs showing stable conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Upcoming Météo-France updates and final observational data will refine resolution around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日巴黎最低气温？
8月1日巴黎最低气温？
16°C或以下 64%
17°C 38%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
16°C或以下
65%
17°C
34%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
16°C或以下 64%
17°C 38%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
16°C或以下
$1,517 交易量
65%
17°C
$1,521 交易量
34%
18°C
$494 交易量
1%
19°C
$459 交易量
<1%
20°C
$241 交易量
<1%
21°C
$434 交易量
<1%
22°C
$345 交易量
<1%
23°C
$833 交易量
<1%
24°C
$339 交易量
<1%
25°C
$333 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$332 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate persistent high pressure over northern France, driving clear skies and radiative nighttime cooling that positions Paris overnight lows near 16–18°C for August 1. This aligns with climatological August minimums of 14–18°C, though an above-average warm air mass tempers further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 16°C or below and 41.5% for exactly 17°C, incorporates the latest model runs showing stable conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Upcoming Météo-France updates and final observational data will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,848结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate persistent high pressure over northern France, driving clear skies and radiative nighttime cooling that positions Paris overnight lows near 16–18°C for August 1. This aligns with climatological August minimums of 14–18°C, though an above-average warm air mass tempers further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 16°C or below and 41.5% for exactly 17°C, incorporates the latest model runs showing stable conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Upcoming Météo-France updates and final observational data will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,848结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from Météo-France and international agencies indicate persistent high pressure over northern France, driving clear skies and radiative nighttime cooling that positions Paris overnight lows near 16–18°C for August 1. This aligns with climatological August minimums of 14–18°C, though an above-average warm air mass tempers further drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 16°C or below and 41.5% for exactly 17°C, incorporates the latest model runs showing stable conditions without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Upcoming Météo-France updates and final observational data will refine resolution around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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