Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a mild late-summer air mass over the Northeast, supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25. Moderate dew points near 60°F combined with light southwesterly winds will limit radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while the urban heat island effect further moderates temperatures relative to surrounding suburbs. Slight differences among leading outcomes (64–65°F versus 66–67°F) hinge on forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical late-August averages near 67°F provide context for the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around normal conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月25日的最低温度?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 20%
53°F或以下
3%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
8%
72°F或更高
12%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 20%
53°F或以下
3%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
8%
72°F或更高
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a mild late-summer air mass over the Northeast, supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25. Moderate dew points near 60°F combined with light southwesterly winds will limit radiative cooling under partly clear skies, while the urban heat island effect further moderates temperatures relative to surrounding suburbs. Slight differences among leading outcomes (64–65°F versus 66–67°F) hinge on forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts, which can alter the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical late-August averages near 67°F provide context for the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around normal conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题