National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 23 center on a high near 104–106°F under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating amid an ongoing Central Texas heat wave. Official guidance from recent model runs highlights these conditions as the primary driver positioning the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins as the market leaders, consistent with August climatology where peak highs often reach the mid- to upper 90s but exceed 100°F during strong ridging episodes. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings a degree or two either way before official verification, with traders incorporating the latest NWS updates into implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
104-105°F 47%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 14%
108-109华氏度 3.9%
$20,671 交易量
$20,671 交易量
2026-08-23
95°F或以下
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
30%
108-109华氏度
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F或更高
<1%
104-105°F 47%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 14%
108-109华氏度 3.9%
$20,671 交易量
$20,671 交易量
2026-08-23
95°F或以下
$299 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$463 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$217 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$1,669 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$3,859 交易量
14%
104-105°F
$4,298 交易量
47%
106-107°F
$5,709 交易量
30%
108-109华氏度
$2,571 交易量
4%
110-111°F
$948 交易量
<1%
112-113°F
$302 交易量
<1%
114°F或更高
$337 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 23 center on a high near 104–106°F under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating amid an ongoing Central Texas heat wave. Official guidance from recent model runs highlights these conditions as the primary driver positioning the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins as the market leaders, consistent with August climatology where peak highs often reach the mid- to upper 90s but exceed 100°F during strong ridging episodes. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings a degree or two either way before official verification, with traders incorporating the latest NWS updates into implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$20,671结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 23 center on a high near 104–106°F under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating amid an ongoing Central Texas heat wave. Official guidance from recent model runs highlights these conditions as the primary driver positioning the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins as the market leaders, consistent with August climatology where peak highs often reach the mid- to upper 90s but exceed 100°F during strong ridging episodes. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings a degree or two either way before official verification, with traders incorporating the latest NWS updates into implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,671结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 23 center on a high near 104–106°F under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly winds that favor strong daytime heating amid an ongoing Central Texas heat wave. Official guidance from recent model runs highlights these conditions as the primary driver positioning the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins as the market leaders, consistent with August climatology where peak highs often reach the mid- to upper 90s but exceed 100°F during strong ridging episodes. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings a degree or two either way before official verification, with traders incorporating the latest NWS updates into implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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