**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日奥斯汀最低气温？
8月23日奥斯汀最低气温？
74-75°F 95%
71华氏度或更低 4%
72-73°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$2,622 交易量
$2,622 交易量
2026-08-23
71华氏度或更低
4%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
95%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 95%
71华氏度或更低 4%
72-73°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$2,622 交易量
$2,622 交易量
2026-08-23
71华氏度或更低
$41 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$383 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$634 交易量
95%
76-77°F
$335 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$100 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$100 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$100 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$858 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$165 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$399 交易量
<1%
90°F或更高
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,622结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,622结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs support the strong market consensus around a 74-75°F low for Austin on August 23.** Persistent hot, dry conditions with clear skies overnight promote efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 105°F, while light southerly winds limit mixing and keep the minimum in the mid-to-upper 70s range consistent with climatological baselines adjusted for the current heatwave. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of NOAA guidance and historical analogs for late-August nights under similar high-pressure dominance. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected increases in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or delayed model updates showing reduced cooling, potentially pushing the observed minimum into the 76-80°F band and shifting implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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