Persistent high pressure has maintained hot, mostly clear conditions across central Texas, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s under typical August radiative cooling, yet forecast models show divergence on a possible tropical system threat for August 23-25 that could increase cloud cover, humidity, or light precipitation and lower the minimum temperature. Official guidance from NOAA and NHC currently favors minimal direct impact, keeping the lowest reading on August 24 most likely near 77–78 °F, but shifts in steering flow or moisture advection remain key variables that could push readings below 74 °F or hold them above 80 °F. Updated model runs and NHC briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日奥斯汀最低气温?
92°F或更高 65%
86-87°F 36%
73华氏度或更低 36%
74-75°F 31%
73华氏度或更低
36%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
65%
92°F或更高 65%
86-87°F 36%
73华氏度或更低 36%
74-75°F 31%
73华氏度或更低
36%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure has maintained hot, mostly clear conditions across central Texas, supporting overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s under typical August radiative cooling, yet forecast models show divergence on a possible tropical system threat for August 23-25 that could increase cloud cover, humidity, or light precipitation and lower the minimum temperature. Official guidance from NOAA and NHC currently favors minimal direct impact, keeping the lowest reading on August 24 most likely near 77–78 °F, but shifts in steering flow or moisture advection remain key variables that could push readings below 74 °F or hold them above 80 °F. Updated model runs and NHC briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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