Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Buenos Aires overnight lows near 5–10°C on August 25 amid variable northeasterly flow, stable high pressure, and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 2–6°C. Ongoing cool anomalies from recent days—when minima reached 4–7°C under lingering polar air advection—have kept the market tightly clustered, with roughly equal implied probabilities for sub-3°C extremes versus milder outcomes above 11°C. Key differentiating factors include exact wind shifts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling, cloud cover timing that moderates temperature drops, and local urban effects near the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and surface observations for any rapid changes ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月25日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
2°C或以下 59%
12°C或更高 59%
10°C 32%
11°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
2°C或以下
59%
3°C
24%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
27%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
32%
11°C
32%
12°C或更高
59%
2°C或以下 59%
12°C或更高 59%
10°C 32%
11°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
2°C或以下
$5 交易量
59%
3°C
$0 交易量
24%
4°C
$0 交易量
26%
5°C
$0 交易量
26%
6°C
$0 交易量
27%
7°C
$0 交易量
25%
8°C
$0 交易量
25%
9°C
$0 交易量
25%
10°C
$5 交易量
32%
11°C
$5 交易量
32%
12°C或更高
$5 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Buenos Aires overnight lows near 5–10°C on August 25 amid variable northeasterly flow, stable high pressure, and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 2–6°C. Ongoing cool anomalies from recent days—when minima reached 4–7°C under lingering polar air advection—have kept the market tightly clustered, with roughly equal implied probabilities for sub-3°C extremes versus milder outcomes above 11°C. Key differentiating factors include exact wind shifts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling, cloud cover timing that moderates temperature drops, and local urban effects near the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and surface observations for any rapid changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Buenos Aires overnight lows near 5–10°C on August 25 amid variable northeasterly flow, stable high pressure, and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 2–6°C. Ongoing cool anomalies from recent days—when minima reached 4–7°C under lingering polar air advection—have kept the market tightly clustered, with roughly equal implied probabilities for sub-3°C extremes versus milder outcomes above 11°C. Key differentiating factors include exact wind shifts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling, cloud cover timing that moderates temperature drops, and local urban effects near the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and surface observations for any rapid changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Buenos Aires overnight lows near 5–10°C on August 25 amid variable northeasterly flow, stable high pressure, and modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 2–6°C. Ongoing cool anomalies from recent days—when minima reached 4–7°C under lingering polar air advection—have kept the market tightly clustered, with roughly equal implied probabilities for sub-3°C extremes versus milder outcomes above 11°C. Key differentiating factors include exact wind shifts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling, cloud cover timing that moderates temperature drops, and local urban effects near the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station. Traders are monitoring the next model updates and surface observations for any rapid changes ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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