Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 24 likely falling between 6–8°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds near 4–8 m/s, and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits mixing. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 3–4°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 4–8°C, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (average lows near 7–8°C) provides context, while the absence of strong cold-air advection keeps probabilities for sub-4°C outcomes low. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final reading before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
8°C或更高 68%
6°C 34%
4°C 32%
3°C 29%
-2°C或更低
14%
-1°C
19%
0°C
25%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
29%
4°C
32%
5°C
24%
6°C
34%
7℃
2%
8°C或更高
68%
8°C或更高 68%
6°C 34%
4°C 32%
3°C 29%
-2°C或更低
14%
-1°C
19%
0°C
25%
1°C
28%
2°C
28%
3°C
29%
4°C
32%
5°C
24%
6°C
34%
7℃
2%
8°C或更高
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models show Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 24 likely falling between 6–8°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds near 4–8 m/s, and a stable high-pressure pattern that limits mixing. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 3–4°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 4–8°C, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (average lows near 7–8°C) provides context, while the absence of strong cold-air advection keeps probabilities for sub-4°C outcomes low. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final reading before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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