Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daily maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23 under stable high-pressure conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and dew points near 3–5°C limiting diurnal warming. This places the market-implied odds for 12°C and 13°C near parity, reflecting minor model spread in peak afternoon temperatures. Cool southerly air advection and modest cloud cover have kept observed readings in the 9–11°C range through midday, consistent with late-winter climatology where averages hover near 12°C. No significant frontal passages or radiative changes are expected before resolution, keeping the outcome tightly contested between the two leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
12°C 97%
13°C 3%
14°C 1.4%
15°C <1%
$15,603 交易量
$15,603 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
97%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 97%
13°C 3%
14°C 1.4%
15°C <1%
$15,603 交易量
$15,603 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
97%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converge on a daily maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23 under stable high-pressure conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and dew points near 3–5°C limiting diurnal warming. This places the market-implied odds for 12°C and 13°C near parity, reflecting minor model spread in peak afternoon temperatures. Cool southerly air advection and modest cloud cover have kept observed readings in the 9–11°C range through midday, consistent with late-winter climatology where averages hover near 12°C. No significant frontal passages or radiative changes are expected before resolution, keeping the outcome tightly contested between the two leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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