Trader consensus around 22–23°C for Mexico City’s August 25 high reflects the ongoing rainy season’s typical cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Long-term August averages near 24°C are moderated by frequent tropical waves and convective activity that increase humidity and reduce insolation, keeping daily maxima in the low 20s°C according to recent model guidance. With resolution tied to official CONAGUA observations, the concentrated probabilities on 22–24°C capture the narrow range expected under these stable late-summer conditions, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日墨西哥城气温最高?
23°C 37%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
20%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
7%
23°C 37%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 13%
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
20%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around 22–23°C for Mexico City’s August 25 high reflects the ongoing rainy season’s typical cloud cover and afternoon showers, which limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Long-term August averages near 24°C are moderated by frequent tropical waves and convective activity that increase humidity and reduce insolation, keeping daily maxima in the low 20s°C according to recent model guidance. With resolution tied to official CONAGUA observations, the concentrated probabilities on 22–24°C capture the narrow range expected under these stable late-summer conditions, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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