Trader consensus on the Panama City highest temperature market centers on 30–32°C for August 25, reflecting model agreement for typical late-summer conditions with highs near the long-term August average of ~30–32°C. Persistent high humidity, light steering winds, and a 70–90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms—per NHC and local forecasts—favor scattered convection that caps daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong ridge or dry air mass to push readings toward 34°C or above, while historical data indicate extremes above 33°C occur infrequently in this period. Updated guidance expected from NOAA and regional meteorological services tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日巴拿马城气温最高?
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
21%
31°C
26%
32°C
31%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
2%
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
21%
31°C
26%
32°C
31%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on the Panama City highest temperature market centers on 30–32°C for August 25, reflecting model agreement for typical late-summer conditions with highs near the long-term August average of ~30–32°C. Persistent high humidity, light steering winds, and a 70–90% chance of afternoon thunderstorms—per NHC and local forecasts—favor scattered convection that caps daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong ridge or dry air mass to push readings toward 34°C or above, while historical data indicate extremes above 33°C occur infrequently in this period. Updated guidance expected from NOAA and regional meteorological services tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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